Market Analysis - AgriFood Security 2018
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Market Analysis Report
Major Agri and Food Security Associations around the Globe:
- Kerry Group, Ireland
- Adler Seeds, US
- China Agri-Industries Holdings, China
- ContiGroup Companies, Belgium
- Golden State Foods, US
- Heritage Foods, India
- Noble Group, South America
- The Mosaic Company, US
- Monsanto, US
- Wayne Farms, US
- Groupe Limagrain, France
- Bayer Crop Science, Germany
- New Holland Agriculture, Italy
- John Deere Tractor, US
- CLAAS, Germany
- Skellerup, New Zealand
- Techno farm International, Libya
Major Food Security Associations and Societies in Europe
- Institute of Food Research
- Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK
- Food Standards Agency, UK
- Microbiological Safety of Food Funders Group (FSA)
- Institute of Food Research
- Health Department of the Generalitat de Catalunya, Spain
- Norwegian Food Safety Authority, Norway
- Ministry of Economic Affairs, Agriculture and Innovation, Netherlands
- Federal Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Consumer Protection, Germany
- Committee on the Environment, Public Health and Food Safety, EU
- European Food Safety Authority, EU
Importance of Agri-Food Security Conference (Globally, Continent Wise (Europe, America, Asia pacific, and Middle East):
1. Globally: "The challenge is to deliver nutritious, safe and affordable food to a Global population of over 9 billion in the coming decades, using less land, fewer inputs, with less waste and a lower environmental impact. All this has to be done in ways that are socially and economically sustainable." Agri-Food security occurs when all people are able to access enough safe and nutritious food to meet their requirements for a healthy life, in ways the planet can sustain into the future. However, agri-food security faces a number of challenges across both production and consumption which research will be essential to solve. Many countries are facing the double burden of hunger and under nutrition alongside overweight and obesity, with one in three people across the globe currently suffering from some form of malnutrition (ref 1). Indeed it is not unusual to find people with different forms of malnutrition living side-by-side in one country, in one community, or even in the same household. The prevalence rates of overweight, obesity and diet-related non-communicable diseases (NCDs) such as cardiovascular disease, stroke, certain cancers and type II diabetes (ref 2), are increasing in every region, in both developed and developing countries. Globally there are now more people who are overweight or obese than underweight, with the two combined accounting for more than half of the world population: a new normal (ref 3). The estimated cost to the world economy of disease and death from overweight and obesity is $2 trillion (ref 2). At the same time, around 795 million people face hunger on a daily basis and more than two billion people lack vital micronutrients (e.g. iron, zinc, vitamin A) (ref 1), affecting their health and life expectancy. Nearly a quarter of all children aged under five today are stunted, with diminished physical and mental capacities, and less than a third of all young infants in 60 low- and middle-income countries meet the minimum dietary diversity standards needed for growth.
2. North-America Region: The anticipation of eating regimen related sicknesses is one of the new societal difficulties of the 21st century. In October 2011, the total populace passed the 7 billion stamps. Such development will put a monstrous strain on the worldwide sustenance supply. These elements alone make the generation and circulation of sustenance a basic issue for the 21st century. The natural nourishment industry is one of the quickest developing divisions of U.S. agribusiness. Customer interest for natural sustenance has kept on developing at a relentless pace of at least 20% every year since the 1990s. Around 73% of customary supermarkets and almost 20,000 common nourishment stores convey natural items, representing roughly 2.5% of aggregate sustenance deals in the United States. Residential deals appraisals of natural sustenance are $17 billion (all sums are in U.S. dollars) for 2006, with 39% of those deals for leafy foods (Organic Trade Association 2006). The present interest for natural deliver is expanding speedier than supply, bringing about growing exchange holes amongst imports and fares. The natural area of the U.S. agrarian framework is requesting expanded consideration from makers, retailers, buyers, and strategy producers keen on natural and medical problems inside the nourishment framework.
3. Europe: The significant assembling centres in the globe are Europe which constitutes the dominant part share in the nourishment flavours and enhancer showcase alongside North America. European market is a develop advertise and has a few administrative bodies to manage stringently the utilization of sustenance flavours and enhancers, accordingly dealing with the purchasers of the countries. Germany constitutes the significant offer having 24% taken after by the UK (23%), Spain (10%), Netherland (5%) and Italy (9%). $ 823 million US dollar is the market measure by estimation of the manufactured flavour and $ 755.65 million US dollar is the market estimate by estimation of the characteristic in the year 2014.
4. Asia pacific: Asia Pacific is a colossal and progressively powerful market in the supply of sustenance and refreshment fixings. And in addition representing 35% of worldwide esteem included fixing supply in this classification; it is likewise a dissolving purpose of different patterns and impacts. In 2012, Asia Pacific represented 35% of worldwide utilization of significant worth included sustenance and drink fixings, proportional to just about 8.5 million tons out of a worldwide aggregate of 24.2 million tons. Asia Pacific is likewise one of the quickest developing locales, with a figure CAGR of 4% more than 2012-2017, behind just the Middle East and Africa, with 5%. This implies by 2017, Asia will have expanded its offer of the worldwide aggregate to 38%.
The US is the world's biggest economy and its 320 million individuals created US$48,000 per capita GDP in 2011. One of every five Americans live in one of the nation's eight biggest urban communities. Its customers expect aggressive estimating and offers, and are progressively worried about economical generation, transport and bundling. It is New Zealand's third biggest sustenance and refreshment showcase, with US$2.1 billion fares in 2011. · US bundled sustenance deals totalled US$332 billion out of 2011. The bread shop classification was worth 21 per cent of the aggregate; dairy, 16 per cent; solidified prepared nourishment, 10 per cent; ice cream parlour, 10 per cent; and sweet and flavourful snacks, 10 per cent. · Packaged sustenance deals expanded by a compound yearly development rate (CAGR) of 2.5 per cent amid 2006-2011, driven by more dinners eaten at home as opposed to eating out. The most noteworthy development was in lunch rooms, with a CAGR of 6.6 per cent over the five-year time frame. Pasta grew 5.9 per cent in that time, noodles, 4.8 per cent; spreads, 4.6 per cent; and dairy items, 3.4 per cent. · Fresh nourishment deals involved 78 million tons by volume in 2011; with meat at 31 per cent piece of the pie; vegetables, 25 per cent; organic products, 23 per cent; bland roots, seven per cent; and eggs, six per cent. Market development was stale from 2006-2011. · The US wine advertise is the world's second biggest behind France, totalling US$34 billion out of 2011, equalling 2.73 billion litres. Still light grape wines overwhelm with a 86 per cent piece of the overall industry in esteem and 91 per cent in volume. Shimmering wines have an eight per cent share by esteem and five per cent in volume. CAGR deals development more than 2006-2011 was three per cent, with imports from Argentina up 13 per cent and New Zealand up 40 per cent. There has been change following the subsidence late in the decade, which hit the foodservice showcase especially hard.
Development drivers · Consumer enthusiasm for natural sustenance stays solid, the market multiplying in the vicinity of 2005 and 2010. Americans are progressively intrigued by wellbeing and wellbeing parts of sustenance, constraining foodservice administrators to offer solid options, for example, low-fat menus. Reasonable bundling, transport and creation strategies are progressively esteemed. · While slower to grasp private names than Europeans, the worldwide financial lull has energized such deals, which have become quicker than the general sustenance and refreshment showcase. Standard private marks by and large offer for 20 to 40 per cent not as much as their marked counterparts. · While eating out is on the ascent once more, purchasers are deciding on more affordable eateries. Full-benefit eateries keep on struggling, while fast food eateries progressively co-situate in real shopping outlets. Amid the subsidence, wine purchasers exchanged down to economy marks and reduced retail channels; however add up to volume utilization developed. Footing has originated from more youthful customers.
Market Potential :
Total nourishment utilization is estimate to increment by a CAGR of 3 per cent amid the five years to 2016, because of the developing U.S. populace. Nourishment utilization in the U.S. is relied upon to reach $968 billion by 2016. · Canned nourishment esteem deals are conjecture to develop by a CAGR of 3.6 per cent to 2016, driven by expanding shopper requests for comfort. · There is popularity for solidified sustenance items, especially from markets and eatery networks. The solidified sustenance advertise is estimate to develop at a normal yearly rate of 1.5 per cent, achieving $96.4 billion of every 2016. · The natural sustenance advertisement is a figure to develop by a 9.7 per cent CAGR in the vicinity of 2011 and 2016. The market is conjecture to reach $46.5 billion by 2016, which is an expansion of > 50 per cent since 2010. · The development of the dairy advertise is conjecture to moderate, with a CAGR of 3.6 per cent in the vicinity of 2011 and 2016, achieving $89.3 billion out of 2013. The dynamic yogurt part in the United States is relied upon to keep on growing, due to the on-going pattern towards more beneficial choices. · The basic supply retail showcase is relied upon to develop by a CAGR of 3.5 per cent to 2016. · The foodservice deals are relied upon to develop by a 3.2 per cent CAGR to 2015, achieving $562.5 billion. The most astounding development is figure in foodservice foundations in travel areas (i.e. motorway benefit/rail stations).
Future Prospect of Agri-Food Security
By 2050 the total populace will achieve 9.1 billion, 34 for each penny higher than today. Almost the greater part of this populace increment will happen in creating nations. Urbanization will proceed at a quickened pace, and around 70 for each penny of the total populace will be urban (contrasted with 49 for each penny today). Wage levels will be numerous products of what they are currently. Keeping in mind the end goal to nourish this bigger, more urban and wealthier populace, sustenance creation (net of sustenance utilized for biofuels) must increment by 70 for every penny. Yearly grain creation should ascend to around 3 billion tons from 2.1 billion today and yearly meat generation should ascend by more than 200 million tons to achieve 470 million tons. Numerous nations will keep contingent upon universal exchange to guarantee their sustenance security.
It is presumed that by 2050 developing countries’net imports of cereals will dramatically increase from 135 million metric tons in 2008/09 to 300 million of every 2050. That is the reason there is a need to move towards a worldwide exchanging framework that is reasonable and focused; and that adds to a tried and true market for nourishment. Change of homestead bolster arrangements in OECD nations is an appreciated stride which has prompted a decrease in the total exchange twisting coefficient from 0.96 out of 1986 to 0.74 of every 2007. Be that as it may, there is plainly still opportunity to get better. There is likewise a need to offer help and more prominent market access to creating nation ranchers with the goal that they can contend on a more equivalent balance. Nations likewise need to view joint measures as better arranged for future stuns to the worldwide framework, through facilitated activity if there should arise an occurrence of nourishment emergencies, change of exchange principles, and joint fund to help individuals influenced by another value spike or restricted debacles. The world has the assets and innovation to kill hunger and guarantee long haul sustenance security for all, regardless of many difficulties and dangers. It needs to assemble political will and manufacture the fundamental organizations to guarantee that key choices on venture and arrangements to kill hunger are taken and executed successfully. The time to act is now.
Food security exists exactly when all people always, have physical and money related access to sufficient, ensured and nutritious support to meet the dietary needs and food slants for a dynamic and sound life. Current projections envision a 31% development in absolute people in the region of 1996 and 2020, with practically 98% of the extension occurring in making countries. It is in like manner expected that over the period 1995 to 2020, the urban masses in making countries will twofold. Such advancement in overall masses with everything taken into account and urban people particularly, will act more important weight on food creation, dealing with and allotment structures and moreover on the general condition in making countries. This could provoke certified sustenance quality and prosperity issues. Nonappearance of specific and money related resources in making countries will trouble sustenance vulnerability unless helpful exercises are conveyed to oversee such issues. National sustenance control structures shield nearby clients from unsafe, polluted and for the most part low quality support. By upgrading the capability of the sustenance structure, food openness is extended and the conviction of outside buyers in the quality and prosperity of the country's sustenance conveys is progressed.
The present WTO SPS and TBT Agreements have inconceivably changed the present worldwide food trade circumstance. The Agreements recognize Codex overall support standards and its distinctive proposals as seat marks for introduction of national sustenance affirmation measures. Nations constraining more stringent necessities for food imports into their countries need to do accordingly on the preface of generous legitimate. As the WTO Agreements give a level playing field to general trade sustenance, it would be in light of a real worry for making countries to recognize and complete Codex gages. This moreover requires their more vital interest in Codex work. The information created inside Codex is of staggering significance in enhancing sustenance security at national and close-by levels.
In the underneath, the key components with respect to the viewpoint for nourishment security towards 2050 can be abridged. The key message from this appraisal is that it will be conceivable to accomplish sustenance security for a total populace of 9.1 billion individuals anticipated for that time, if gave quantities of all around determined conditions are met through proper approaches and are not overlooked.
- The evolving financial condition
- Global advance in nourishment utilization
- Income Growth
- Cropland Expansion Potential
The world has all the enough assets, innovation and resources to eradicate hunger. It needs to activate political will and manufacture the essential establishments to ensure that key choices on speculation levels and allotment and also on agricultural and food security arrangements are brought with the objective of appetite annihilation at the top of the priority list. This analysis exhibited above by one means or another illustrates the fate of Food security on the planet.